Philosophy

Philosophical Razors: The Cutting Edge in Ancient Wisdom

Written by Joss Duggan (Reading Time: 11 mins)

Razors...cutting edge wisdom? See what I did there? Putting philosophical puns to one side for a second, there's an old adage that 'there's nothing new under the sun'; that somehow, all 'new' ideas are somehow just remixed versions of wisdom that has been around for millennia. Philosophical razors are a brilliant example of this; critical thinking tools that when used correctly, just at the right moment, can be a valuable asset when sat in the boardroom or the bar.

Similar to the idea of heuristics from the world of psychology, razors work by figuratively 'cutting away' the unnecessary parts of a question and stripping it down to the essentials, so we can better understand the problem at hand. 

With that in mind, here are some of the most useful razors, with some ideas for how you can apply them yourself to your life. So with that in mind, let's start with the big one...

 

1. Occam's Razor (Keep it simple stupid!)

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By far the most famous example (and an obvious place to start), Occam's Razor is at first glance a simple truism that seems so obvious as to be unworthy of discussion. But don't be fooled! The logic and usefulness of Occam's Razor is hotly debated by the scientific community. But before getting into the nitty-gritty, here it is:

Entities should not be multiplied beyond necessity
— William of Occam
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Well.....for accuracy, what he actually wrote was "Plurality should not be posited without necessity", but another medieval scholar (a guy by the name of John Punch), decided that it just wasn't snappy enough and rewrote the phrase, which is now widely attributed to William of Occam. Thanks to Arthur Conan-Doyle, yet another version of this should be much more familiar to you: "When you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth". 

In a nutshell, what Sherlock was telling us here, is that the simplest explanation for anything, is the most likely. So if confronted with two or more possible explanations, the one that satisfies all available evidence and has the fewest assumptions is most probably the right one. 

Things should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler!
— Albert Einstein

But there is the key - it must satisfy all available evidence. Just because an explanation is the simplest one available, doesn't make it the best one. If it fails to explain (or flat-out ignores) key facts, then it remains problematic. The best explanation then, is the one that fits the evidence, using the fewest assumptions

 

2. Grice's Razor (yOU kNOW WHAT i MEANT)

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Our second razor comes from philosophy of language and semantics: Paul Grice was a British philosopher who spent the majority of his career at Berkeley, developing theories on how meaning and language interact, and particularly what people mean when they 'imply' meaning.

Grice's Razor is a play on Occam's, highlighting the value of simplicity (AKA 'parsimony') in interpreting meaning. I'll spare you the long version (it's pretty dense) but the short version is:

Senses are not to be multiplied beyond necessity
— Paul Grice

Grice is saying that context is king and the 'literal' version of what is being said shouldn't be taken in isolation. Let's look at a quick example:

David: Kate - Are you coming to the sprint planning meeting?

Kate: Let me just grab a coffee...

After David asks the question, in the literal sense, Kate hasn't answered the question. Now I know what you're thinking: 'Don't be pedantic, we know what she meant'. But 'how' do we know?

As a reader/listener, you 'infer' meaning from the sentence; namely that Kate is going to join the meeting immediately after she has grabbed a cup of caffeine (because presumably it's going to be a long one). Even thought there isn't a definitive 'yes' or 'no' present in her response, it's safe to assume that's she'll be along soon and we when we make these assumptions every day, and when we do, we're using Grice's Razor.

Now this is why it's so frustrating when people violate this unspoken trust. When you're 'economical with the truth' and say something that whilst 'technically' true, you know it's going to mislead the listening/reader, that's a lie of omission. Honesty isn't just about using precise speech and avoiding explicit lies, it's also about being forthright with the truth when you know that someone is expecting it. To do otherwise just wouldn't be cool would it? Come on....don't be that guy.

 

3. Hume's Razor (Evidence must equal claims)J

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The first two precepts describe the value of parsimony; how simplicity can lead us to better answers. The following concepts, then build on those ideas towards a kind of theory of knowledge. Next up is Scottish enlightenment philosopher, David Hume:

No testimony is sufficient to establish a miracle unless that testimony be of such a kind that its falsehood would be more miraculous than the fact which it endeavours to establish
— David Hume

Ummmm...thanks Dave. Clear as mud.

An interesting (and incredibly annoying) feature of philosophy is that ancient writings are often easier to understand than more modern ones because someone has done the hard work of translating both the language and the meaning into plain english. With the medieval and enlightenment philosophers, whilst they 'technically' wrote in English, often they can be as impenetrable as Shakespeare to the uninitiated. So let's turn to the legendary American cosmologist and philosopher, Carl Sagan, to give us a simpler explanation:

Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof
— Carl Sagan

What has now become known as 'Sagan's Standard', is a reformulation of Hume; in order to prove something incredible, the evidence must be equally incredible. For example, proving a claim such as the existence of extra-terrestrial life, would require the extraordinary levels of proof. So the literal 'awesomeness' of claims and evidence must be equal and opposite.

 

4. Hitchen's Razor (No evidence, no argument)

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Following on from Hume and Sagan, (your extraordinary claims need some extraordinary evidence please) is Hitchen's Razor. Irrepective of your philosophical leanings, you have to marvel at the dry, acerbic and sardonic style of Christopher Hitchens. Let it never be said that Hitch ever shied away from a good debate, taking down arguments with a barrage of rhetorical techniques, whether bona fide logical device or straight-up sophistry.

First appearing in an article for Slate in 2003, and then later in his 2007 book 'God Is Not Great: How Religion Poisons Everything', Hitchen's Razor is all about the burden of proof (or lack thereof) on the recipient of an unsubstantiated claim. Here's the man himself:

Forgotten were the elementary rules of logic, that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence and that what can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence
— Christopher Hitchens

It's a variation of an old latin proverb: "Quod gratis asseritur, gratis negatur" that can be accurately translated as "that which is easily asserted is easily negated". Mr. Hitchens means to say, that if you turn-up to a debate without any empirical evidence, don't expect anyone to entertain your claims and don't be surprised when you get shut-down. It's the rhetorical equivalent of bringing a knife to a gun fight and you do yourself a disservice. Though Hitchens applied this line of thinking mainly in theistic debates, it's applicable everywhere. Watch the man in action to see for yourself.

So if you've ever sat in a meeting, listening to someone talk about their pet theories (especially the HiPPo's) or observe that decisions are being made based on opinion instead of fact, this is the moment to invoke Hitchen's Razor (perhaps more diplomatically than Hitchens himself did) and swiftly bring that discussion to a close with the following phrase:

"I think that's a really interesting point you make, what data has led you to believe that?" 

 

5. Alder's Razor (No experiment, no argument)

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Mike Alder is an australian mathematician who in his now famous article for Philosophy Now magazine, claimed that his version is '...sharper and more dangerous than Occam's Razor'. Alder's Razor is much better known by it's altogether more colourful moniker: 'Newton's Flaming Laser Sword' (see above photo for incontrovertible existential proof of aforementioned item). 

Now, I know what you're thinking....and yes. A 'Flaming Laser Sword' is really just a fancy light-saber. But less important the name and more important the concept. So what is Alder's Razor?

That which cannot be settled by experiment is not worth debating
— Mike Alder

It's a philosophical debate dating back thousands of years on whether or not 'pure reason' alone can solve the mysteries of the universe with intellectual giants of the field on both sides of the argument. Whatever your opinion, Alder's Razor is a useful little tool for moving forward when you get bogged down in conference room debates. 

If you've read The Lean Start-Up by Eric Ries (and if you've haven't, you definitely should, it's a game-changer!) you'll understand how well the scientific method can be applied to organisations of all shapes and sizes, from start-ups to multi-national corporations and everything in between. The main idea, is to get all your assumptions out on the table and systematically work through them all to find out if your hypothesese are correct or not. This produces what Ries calls 'validated learning', which is what all young ventures should be focused on.

Now you may have spotted a problem with the application of Alder's Razor. There are many areas which it's either incredibly hard to run experiments (politics) or completely impossible (religion). Add to that, it basically kills off more than 50% of the entire philosophical canon of literature. So use with EXTREME CAUTION - let's not accidentally kill off the field completely, philosophers struggle to find jobs as it is.

 

6. Hanlon's Razor (People aren't evil...just stupid)

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Whilst described as a computer programmer from New Jersey, something of a mystery surrounds the true identity of Robert J. Hanlon. When Alfred Bloch was compiling a book of funny philosophical musings in 1980, he received the following submission that has since become known as Hanlon's Razor. Whilst the essence of the aphorism has appeared in the writings of David Hume, William James and Richard Feynmann, Hanlon's version remains the one that's stuck:

Never attribute to malice, that which can be adequately explained by stupidity
— Robert J. Hanlon

When things go wrong, we seem to have a cognitive bias towards ascribing wrong-doing and 'evil' intent; when someone is late to a meeting we've called...they're disresepecting us on purpose. When the kids a few rows in front at the movies are talking, they're doing it annoy us! 

In fact, this is very closely related to a well-known and substantiated cognitive bias in psychology called the actor-observer bias, wherein, whenever 'we' make a mistake, we blame temporary, external influences (e.g., the traffic made me late). Whereas when someone else makes the exact same mistake, we attribute the infraction to an internal, permanent characteristic of that person (e.g., that guy is lazy and disrespectful).

Those most susceptible to this line of thinking are those suffering from narcissistic personality disorder, as they see everyone else's actions only in reference to themselves. So if your boss, or someone you know constantly flies off the handle, blames people for their maliciousness, or even calling people 'evil'.... you may, in fact, have a narcissist on your hands.

No-one is the villain in their own story
— George R.R. Martin

Whether consciously or not, we all think of ourselves as the heroic protagonist in the sweeping, epic tales of our own lives - though we may well be the villain in someone else's.

So we must give people the benefit of the doubt; if someone has screwed up (or worse) really hurt us, it's probably not personal or intentional - they probably just didn't think it through. Everyone is doing the best with that they have - includes both IQ and EQ. So next time it feels like someone is out to get you, use the empathy that you only wish they had been able to exercise themselves.

Caveat: Never rule out the possibility of both stupidity and malice in combination, it does happen...

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To Sum up

  • Occam - All things being equal, simple answers are better as they have less assumptions

  • Grice - Honesty is as much about what you don't say as what you do say

  • Hume - All claims need equally substantial evidence (quali or quanti) to back them up

  • Hitchens - If you don't have any evidence, then we don't need to have a debate

  • Alder - If you can't go and get evidence by running an experiment, well...refer to Mr Hitchens

  • Hanlon - Be patient with people (especially those without evidence) they're not (that) evil

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Further Reading

Mike Alder: 'Newton's Flaming Laser Sword' (2004)

Bloch, Arthur: 'Murphy’s Law Book Two: More Reasons Why Things Go Wrong' (1980)

Hyman Arthur & Walsh, James J.; 'Philosophy in the Middle Ages' (1973)

Carroll, Robert Todd: 'Occam's Razor'  (2014)

Grice, Paul: 'Studies in the Ways of Words' (1989)

McAleer, Michael: 'Simplicity, Inference and Modeling: Keeping it Sophisticatedly Simple(2002)

Ries, Eric: 'The Lean Start-Up' (2011)

Sober, Elliot: 'What is the Problem of Simplicity?(2004)

Sober, Elliot: 'Occam's Razor: A User's Manual' (2015)

Stone, John R.: 'The Routledge Dictionary of Latin Quotations' (2005)

Thorburn, W. M., 'The Myth of Occam's Razor' (1918)

Blockchain Democracies: Where Freedom Meets Technology

Written by Joss Duggan (Reading Time: 10 mins)

Some people will try to tell you that democracy isn't all it's cracked up to be: "Wouldn't you prefer a nice, efficient (totalitarian...cough) authoritative ruler who can make decisions quickly?" they say.

Plato didn't 'love' democracy either. Or at least the version he knew. This was the 'democratic' regime that duly voted to put his great friend and mentor, Socrates, to death for riling up the young people of ancient Athens with heretical philosophical ideas. 

Democracy is a charming form of government, full of variety and disorder, and dispensing a sort of equality to equals and unequals alike
— Plato

Democracy has it's problems because all human systems are as flawed as the people who build, maintain and operate within them. We as human-beings aren't perfect, so is it any wonder that we haven't found or created a perfect system? (Just in case you're in any doubt as to why democracy makes sense, check out this enlightening thought experiment). But don't just take my word for it...

“NO ONE pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of Government, except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.”
— Winston Churchill

Winston knew what he was talking about and democracy is worth safeguarding, but before we get onto how Blockchain may save democracy (a bold claim, I know), let's take a quick look at what kind of democracy we 'actually' have.

 

There's more than one kind of democracy?

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Part of the problem is that there's no 'one' single definition of what democracy is. All definitions share similar characteristics, but none are identical. There are many favours but the two most important versions are:

1) Direct Democracy - Everyone votes on everything. From the macro issues like capital punishment, abortion and euthanasia to the micro issues like what colour our city buses should be, everyone votes. You may have already spotted the flaws with this system. 

  • We don't have time to educate themselves on all the issues in order to make wise choices

  • Holding a referendum every five minutes gets really expensive

  • If we don't vote on everything, where do we draw the line? (Brexit anyone?)

Direct decision-making can also lead to mob rule, which is exactly why we have impartial judges.

2) Representative Democracy - Only a few people who we think would be good decision makers, get to make the decisions. Professional politicians read the analyses, do the thinking, consult with the experts, debate policies and then make the best decision they can...or so the theory goes.

This is what we (most often) mean when we say 'liberal democracy'.

 

So why is democracy so frustrating?

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1) Lack of Engagement - People don't get as much as a say as they want and don't believe their vote will count. So they stay away. Those likely to believe this are statistically more likely to come from disadvantaged socio-economic groups which only entrenches that inequality.

2) Lack of Inclusion - Too often, voters can be obstructed or intimidated away from voting. People find out they can't vote because they don't have a 'specific' kind of ID (you may suddenly need a passport, instead of a driving license. In democratic nations, this doesn't really occur to us but in many developing countries, going to vote can be dangerous.

3) Lack of Integrity - In many nations, we just don't trust that an election will be fair. Voting stubs disappear, voting machines get tampered with, foreign nations tamper with our elections through social media....'allegedly'. Even when malice is not at play (see Hanlon's Razor) votes can be lost through sheer incompetence. If we can't trust the process, why bother voting? Refer to point #1

And so we see an increasing trend where people want to 'buck the government' and 'shake things up' as a protest vote instead of reflecting real political values. Desperate for change - any change - people turn to extreme options...(Trump? Brexit? I don't think I need a third here

This is where blockchain technology can step in and help...

 

So what is this magical technology?

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Needless to say, there's a lot of hype around blockchain at the moment and there are some great primers on blockchain fundamentals are available 'here', 'here' and 'here'. For our purpose though, there are two main ideas to grasp.

The first critical feature to know is that a blockchain is a registry of information that is almost impossible to hack, once it has been created. One dataset is captured in a single block, which then becomes linked to a second dataset and then a third and so-on, with the ID number of each block dependent on the content and ID of the previous block. So to change the content inside a block that has already been sealed, would have a cascading, ripple effect on all the others. Any changes would be immediately identifiable and the consensus protocol would correct it to whatever the majority decides.

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That leads to the second critical feature: it's distributed. The set of data is kept on potentially thousands, if not millions of computers that are all checking in with each other in real-time. This consensus between the nodes of a blockchain network mean that to change the blockchain, you would have to hack more than 33% of the computers in the network to cause confusion. 

The combination of cryptographic security (the linking of the data and their ID numbers) and the extended distribution (held on thousands of machines) gives the system a robust level of integrity. A system that has integrity, is a system we can trust. 

 

Can blockchain save democracy from decay?

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Whilst Blockchain is still a young technology, I'm sure you're already connecting the dots. Political processes lack trust because they lack integrity. Blockchain has the potential to provide that integrity and therefore reinvigorate the electoral process with greater trust.

Actually, the benefits go a step beyond that. Whilst we don't want to be voting on EVERY single issue that governments deal with (we wouldn't have time to live our own lives) Blockchain is so fast and secure that we could vote electronically.

No more having to find and attend a polling station, no more forgetting your personal ID or voter registration papers. All your voting could be validated online through an official government account, set-up uniquely for you, which links to a desktop or smartphone app.

Voting for a general election could be done within a 1 hour window, the results of which, immediately available and transparent to all once the voting window closes. We could save millions of pounds/dollars/euros that could be redirected into other government services.

 

Liquid Democracy: The hybrid option

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The immediacy and security of blockchain also opens up another hybrid model that sits somewhere between 'direct' and 'representative' democracy.

When you vote for an elected official, you'll never agree with the 100% on all issues. 

Maybe you're a fiscal conservative and they're liberal, perhaps they're pro-life and you're pro-choice. We end up having to make trade-offs that all-too-often feel like the 'lesser of two evils' (or more!).

Well, what if instead of only one vote, we got ten; each one representing a different them. One vote on the euthanasia debate, one on narcotics legalisation, etc. By default, the elected official for constituency would have our votes, unless we wanted to delegate/transfer them to other elected officials within the same parliament/senate/etc. 

This is what 'Liquid Democracy' (or 'Delegative Democracy') indeed is; the benefits of politicians who are informed and educated on the issues, with the flexibility to influence the outcome.

In Australia, the 'Flux Party' are trying to get this idea off the ground. They have the underlying technology ready and they promise that if they can get a candidate elected, that candidate will pledge to vote, based on the collective will of it's party members - but so far, it's still just a theory. 

 

What blockchain can't solve

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1. Journalistic Objectivity - Projects like Real Clear Politics and Politifact have made real progress in trying to establish an objective version of events with impartial analysis but as the news media has striven for monetisation, sensationalist, polarising content has increased exponentially.

2. Critical Thinking Skills - Plato argued that education was paramount to produce a population that could realise the potential of any democratic system. Good decisions come from both accurate information on current events and the critical-thinking skills to make good judgements. (Sign-up to the newsletter to get access to thought experiments and mental models to sharpen your thinking)

3. Campaign Finance Regulation  - We still have deep problems with interference from large corporates or high-net-worth individuals in our elections. Outsized campaign contributions, even those disguised and funnels through shell companies at an arm's length are still damaging to trust. The Harvard Law Professor and one-time US Presidential candidate, Lawrence Lessig, writes about this very problem in his critically-acclaimed book 'Republic Lost: How Money Corrupts Congress and A Plan To Stop It'.

 

So...we should just use this right?

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Remember that I said Blockchain was a young technology. It's still unproven and has a lot of kinks to work out. Even though the blockchain itself maybe unhackable, your smartphone definitely is. Other parts of the electronic electoral system could be vulnerable to attack so the devices gathering the votes themselves could be compromised. Joseph Kiniry is an expert in electoral technology and  runs his own transparent software house:

We have really good ways of [storing personal votes and totals] without using something as complex as a blockchain. Adding a blockchain to a voting protocol is the worst thing you could do - it increases complexity for no extra benefit
— Joseph Kiniry (Chief Scientist, Galois Labs Inc.)

It will take years to become a standard feature of our electoral system. Even if we created an electronic system today, we would need to keep physical polling stations open for several years, in the same way that banks keep branch networks open for those who haven't yet adopted digital service channels. 

“A refusal to use this kind of technology will ultimately be a proclamation of corruption. There is no reason whatsoever, as a political figure, party or national government, that you should not want to improve the security of a result,”
— Jamie Skella (CEO, Horizon State)

But if we aren't bold, if we don't embrace new ideas and technology-enabled solutions, we may well continue the slide into apathy which in turn enables populism. Blockchain isn't a silver bullet, but if it helps facilitate the move towards mass digital transformation of our elections, it could help strengthen the democratic freedoms we often take for granted.

TO SUM UP

  • Democracy isn't perfect, but we can't forget that the alternatives are REALLY bad

  • Voter apathy is driven by lack of integrity and trust in the electoral system

  • Liquid Democracy as a hybrid model could give us more choice at the virtual ballot-box

  • Blockchain technology isn't a silver-bullet solution to reinforce democracy

  • Education provision and an impartial media are still critical to good decision-making

  • Blockchain isn't a technology for mass adoption yet, but it's almost inevitably going to be

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FURTHER READING

Anonymous: 'How Agora Will Use Blockchain To Bring True Democracy' (Hackernoon, 2018)

Casey, Michael J. & Vigna, Paul: 'The Truth Machine' (Harper Collins, 2018)

Crichton, Danny: 'Liquid Democracy Uses Blockchain To Fix Politics' (TechCrunch, 2018)

Del Castillo, Michael: 'Russia Is Leading The Push For Blockchain Democracy' (Coindesk, 2018)

Firth, Niall: 'Bitcoin Tech To Put The Power In The Hands Of Voters' (New Scientist, 2018)

Gell, Aaron: 'Blockchain Disciples Have A New Goal' (Medium, 2018)

Gupta, Vishal: 'Can Blockchain Reboot Democracy' (Entrepreneur.com, 2018)

Lessig, Lawrence: 'Republic Lost: How Money Corrupts Congress' (Twelve, 2012)

Lewis, Simon 'This Australian Party Has A New Voting Idea That Could Radically Change Politics' (Time.com, 2016)

Nakamoto, Satoshi: 'Bitcoin: A Peer To Peer Electronic Cash System' (Bitcoin.org, 2007)

Palmer-Derrien, Stephanie: 'Why Blockchain Is The Future Of Democracy' (Smart Company, 2018)

Plato: 'The Republic' (Penguin Classics, 2007)

Sahakya, Armine: 'Is Blockchain Really The Future Of Democracy' (Huffington Post, 2017)

Tapscott, Don & Alex: 'Blockchain Revolution' (Portfolio Penguin, 2016)